Posts Tagged ‘BCS’

You Can Quote Me on That: NCAAF Pre Season Top 25

// July 22nd, 2011 // 56 Comments » // Uncategorized

The College Football Season is almost here, and it is time to look at who has a chance to get screwed by a computer system in January.

The Top 12 will next friday.

25) Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs bitch slapped Michigan in the Gator Bowl, and return some of that offensive firepower this year. They return seven starters on offense, with the only key piece missing being OT Derrick Sherrod.There are a lot more questions on defense. Last year Manny Diaz led Miss State to the 21st ranked scoring defense in the country. But he is gone now. And so is standout DE Pernell McPhee. They do have seven of their starters back on defense and the new coordinator worked under Diaz last year, so maybe they will continue the roll they were on last year. We will know early on whether they are for real with games against Auburn, LSU, and Georgia in the first five weeks.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 10 at Auburn

“Hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies.” – Andy Dufresne

The Bulldogs have hope for the first time in a long time. It remains to be seen if they can crawl through 11 weeks of shit smelling foulness, in the form of top notch SEC opponents, and come out with a BCS berth on the other side.

24) Nebraska.

taylor-martinez-p13

If Taylor Martinez can be as effective as he was last year, now that he won’t be taking anyone by surprise, Nebraska could contend for a Big Ten title. The offense fell apart down the stretch. Martinez lost his confidence and developed the shanks. Bo Pelini has to replace CB Price Amukamara and S Eric Hagg in the secondary in order to keep the Husker’s defense at the high level we have come to expect. Pelini is one if the best defensive minds in the country so I think he can get the most out of his team. They begin a tough first year schedule in the Big Ten with difficult, but winnable games against Chattanooga, Fresno State, Washington, and then at Wyoming. Ok so there’s nothing difficult about Chattanooga but the first four games will make or break the Huskers season. If they get rolling they could be dangerous, if they stumble going into Madison on October 1, put em in a body bag Johnny.

Key Early Season Matchup – Oct 1 at Wisconsin

“Sweep the Leg!” – Kreese

Taylor Martinez is the leg, without him the Cornhuskers are in trouble.

23) Arizona State.

The Sun Devils have a talented roster, led by LB Vontaze Burfict and QB Brock Osweiler, but their presence here is more about a lack of depth in the Pac 12 South, which is like the NFC West. They should get to 9 wins easily. Utah and USC are likely their biggest competition and neither are as strong as they’ve been in the past.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 9 Missouri

“Sometimes it’s a hard world for small things.” – H.I. McDunnough

ASU is a small thing trying to make it back unto the big stage. It ain’t gonna be easy.

22) Missouri.

The Tigers return ten starters on offense. Unfortunately number eleven was NFL bound QB Blaine Gabbert. There will be a serious QB competition in the summer between Blaine’s younger brother Tyler Gabbert, James Franklin, and Ashton Glaser. If none of them emerge, freshman Corbin Berkstresser could get a shot. Missouri returns the core of its offensive line as well as weapons at WR and TE. The defense lost some major talent and will need to come together quick with a September 9th trip to Arizona State. I think that the Tiger have talent but will be hard pressed to stay in the Top 25.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 9 at Arizona State

“Good from far, but far from good.” – Urban Dictionary

On paper the Tigers seem talented, but once the season gets started I see them getting shredded.

21) Florida.

Urban Meyer left Will Muschamp a garage full of talent. Now it is up to the former defensive coordinator to make it run. Bringing in Charlie Weiss to run the offense was a brilliant move for the first time head coach, who is now free to focus on improving the defense. Weiss, although woefully inept as a head coach, is an offensive genius and knows how to work with a QB. I mean, the guy made Brady Quinn look good. If they can get solid QB play from John Brantley, this rebuilding year could have an SEC Title run in it. The test will come in a three week stretch where the Gators play Alabama, then travel to LSU and Auburn.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 17 Tennessee

20) Virginia Tech.

The good news for the Hokies is that they have Frank Beamer, one of the best coaches in the country at rebuilding year after year. They also have four returning starters on the offensive line. Now the bad news.They lost their entire backfield when Tyrod Taylor, Ryan Williams, and Darren Evans declared for the NFL draft. The schedule is favorable and if Beamer can find a replacement for Taylor the Hokies could make another run at the ACC Title. They will need to avoid the slip ups that cost them early on in 2010, especially on the road against a dangerous ECU team.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 10 at East Carolina

Up men to your posts! Don’t forget today that you are from old Virginia.” – George Pickett.

The Hokies will need to heed these words in order to overcome losing so many key players.

19) Texas.

Mack Brown handed the reins to his offense and defense over to new coordinators this year. Many Diaz will take over the defense, while Bryan Harshin will attempt to bring some of that blue field magic from Boise to Texas. If I was a Longhorn fan I would be excited about having two of the hottest young coordinators in the country calling the shots. Texas has serious talent, as always, on both sides of the ball. However I’m more than a little concerned about the offensive line’s ability to protect the QB, as well as a head coach who doesn’t have the self confidence to turn the ship around himself. If Texas can’t turn things around this year, the only thing Mack Brown will be entitled to is a bus ticket out of town. A soft early season schedule could help the Longhorns build momentum going into the Red River Shootout on October 8th.

mack-brown-head-scratching

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 17 at UCLA.

“Texas is neither southern nor western. Texas is Texas.” – Sen. William Blakely

After last year, Texas needs to prove that Texas isn’t mediocre.

18) Georgia.

After finishing with a 6-7 record in 2010, the Bulldogs look to rebound in 2011. They have a top recruiting class led by RB Isiah Crowell who should get a chance to start as a freshman, and QB Aaron Murray proved to be an efficient passer last year. The offense will miss WR AJ Green, but with four starters back on the offensive line, it should be much improved. The signing of DT Jonathan Jenkins should help improve a 3-4 defense that struggled last year. Opening the year against Boise State and South Carolina will be a trial by fire for the ‘Dawgs. Don’t get excited over there Mike Vick, that’s a metaphorical fire, not the painful tortuous kind you were fond of.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 3 Boise State (at Georgia Dome)

“Be cocky. Walk into the Georgia Dome like you own it.” – Mary Lou Retton

The Bulldogs will need to bring that kind of swagger into the season opener in order to get 2011 off to a good start against a talented Boise State team.

17) Auburn.

They fielded the Number 3 recruiting class in the off season but there are major holes along the offensive line. In addition to the three starters on the OL, they lost Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton and DT Nick Fairley. With no clear cut favorite at QB between Barrett Trotter and freshman Kiehl Frazier, look for Michael Dyer to do a lot of heavy lifting for the Tiger offense. I expect Auburn to struggle this year, especially with road games at South Carolina, Arkansas, and LSU, but they should be right back in the National Title hunt for 2012.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 10 Mississippi State

“No Cam, No Nick, some problems…”

The Tigers are bound to experience a letdown after last year’s storybook season. The question is how far they fall.

16) Michigan State.

kirk_cousinsThe Spartans will be able to run the ball against anyone with RBs Edwin Baker and Le’Veon Bell, who combined for over 1800 yds last year. QB Kirk Cousins returns as well, providing a stable presence in the huddle. There are big questions on defense though, with the loss of LBs Greg Jones and Eric Gordon.Michigan State may have a hard time containing the big physical offensive lines they will see every week in the Big Ten. They have creampuffs scheduled for three of the first four weeks, the one exception being a September 17th trip South Bend, so they could get off to a fast start like they did last year.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 17 at Notre Dame

The world will know that free men stood against a tyrant, that few stood against many, and before this battle was over, even a god-king can bleed.” Ok so that’s a bit dramatic but these Spartans will look to stand tall against perennial Big Ten Tyrants Ohio State, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

15) TCU.

Coach Gary Patterson has built a perennial power house at TCU by always having a Top 10 defense. This year that will be tested, as the offense will have some major holes to fill. New QB Casey Pachall will try and replace Andy Dalton, and will need major help from talented RB Ed Wesley. The schedule is weak which might mean a lot of wins, but not a lot of respect from the BCS.

Key Early Season Matchup – Eh. The Horned Frogs have a pretty easy go of it until they travel to the blue field to take on Boise State on November 12th.

“Dance with who brought ya.”

TCU relies on its defense, and will have to do so more heavily with the offense in a transition year.

14) South Carolina.

Losing Stephen Garcia could be addition by subtraction. The kid was a screw up and although The Program was filmed at Williams Bryce, the Gamecocks don’t need a booze bag doing his best Joe Kane impersonation in the huddle. Steve Spurrier has his most talented team in his tenure at South Carolina, led by stud RB Marcus Lattimore. QB Connor Shaw, the likely candidate to replace Garcia, will have uber-talented WR Alshon Jeffrey to throw to. Adding Number 1 ranked recruit JeDeavon Clowney at DE will give the Gamecocks a serious pass rush.The true test will come in a rough four week stretch beginning October 15th, when they will travel to Mississippi State, Tennessee and Arkansas. With a weakened SEC East, this could be a special year in Columbia.

marcus-lattimore-p1

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 10 at Georgia

“Happiness is a north bound Yankee.” – Bumper Sticker

I have seen firsthand, the passion the people of South Carolina have for all things southern, and it’s admirable, no matter how misguided it may be. I am hoping my alma mater can live up to their potential this year so I can do some serious hooting and a’hollering.

13) Notre Dame. Brian Kelly has built a solid offense in just two years at Notre Dame. He will hope to get QB back Dayne Crist back healthy in 2011 and was delighted that Malcolm Floyd decided to forego the NFL, until the star WR got busted for DUI. The offensive line should be improved and the Irish return 17 starters from last year’s team that won their last four games. If the Irish can navigate a brutal schedule, with road games at Michigan, Pitt, Stanford, and home games against USC, Michigan State, Maryland, and BC, South Bend could be rocking again come Bowl Season.

Key Early Season Matchup – Sept 10 at Michigan

“When anyone asks me about the Irish character, I say look at the trees. Maimed, stark and misshapen, but ferociously tenacious.” - Edna O’Brien

The Golden Domers will need that tenacity if they want to climb back into relevance.

Check next friday for the Top 12!

—–Corey

Wake Up! FWG’s New College Bowl Writer Is On Deck…..

// December 20th, 2010 // 22 Comments » // Uncategorized

bcsToday used to be one of my favorite days of the year. It trumped Christmas, the 4th of July, National Toilet Day (November 19th according to  worldtoilet.org), or any other major holiday. Today is the start of the college bowl season.

It begins a three week stretch where nearly every day has a college football game. A stretch filled with a never ending smorgasbord of over/under bets, teasers, progressives, and the gambling equivalent of a perfect game, the ten team parlay.

The college football season, for the degenerate gambler, is like the pool table at your local bar. Sure, the obnoxious novice trying to impress his lady friend, can get lucky and run the table in between rounds of soco and lime shots. But the real player, the whiskey drinker, knows that it takes weeks of losing to really appreciate the table. To learn to love her quirky idiosyncrasies so he can anticipate them. So when Mr. Soco and lime wants to pull out some of his daddy’s crisp twenty dollar bills, he is ready.

The start of the bowl season is the day where knowing the starting quarterback for the Blue Raiders has turf toe is not a completely useless piece of information. The Blue Raider, not a rowdy smurf pirate as one might think, is the mascot for Middle Tennessee State.

When I woke up on this glorious day, I would feel the weeks of losing were finally going to pay off. I would feel ready. At least that’s how I used to feel.

It has been almost a year since an ill fated wager on the Packers against the Cardinals in last year’s NFL playoffs effectively ended my gambling days. Highlights of that dropped pass in overtime still make me want to club a baby seal’s mom right in the…sorry…getting off topic.

Waking up today I had barely realized that the bowl season was upon us. Looking at the matchups for the three games today, I feel uninformed.

I think that the Cougars of BYU are Mormons, though I am still not quite sure what that entails. I mean, they can’t swear, but they can have lots of wives? The Mormons are taking on El Paso’s branch of the University of Texas which smells like a JV squad, in the New Mexico Bowl.

Shouldn’t New Mexico play in the New Mexico Bowl? Would Bob Hope, rest in peace, ever have Letterman presiding over his annual classic? I don’t think so.

Half-assed Prediction: The Mormons and freshman quarterback Jake Heaps, winners of six of their last seven, will make short work of the Miners from El Paso and then scour Albuquerque for some new wives while the Lobos cry in the corner. BYU 31, UTEP 17

Next up, the uDrove Humanitarian Bowl coming to you from balmy Boise, Idaho. Pitting the Northern Illinios Huskies against the Fresno State Bulldogs on the Blue Field with an 80% chance of snow.

I think that each mascot should only be used by one school. In the event of a conflict, I suggest an Over

The-Top-style arm wrestling competition with Sly Stallone as the guest referee. That way the weaker schools would end up with weaker names, like the Northern Illinios Meerkats and the Fresno State Lhasa Apsos.

Half-assed Prediction: Blue Field usually means lots of points so look for stud senior running back Chad Spann to have a big day. MEERKATS 34, LHASA APSOS 28

Last of the opening day games, R + L Carriers brings us the New Orleans Bowl, and the marquee matchup of Ohio versus Troy. Couldn’t we find something better to sponsor the New Orleans Bowl?  Like Flood Insurance perhaps?

Half-Assed prediction: My brother attended Florida Atlantic for two years and I stole one of his shirts that proclaimed, “Destroy Troy”. When in doubt, go with the t-shirt. OHIO 21, TROY 7

Fiesta Bowl Fever Hits UConn’s Campus

// December 8th, 2010 // 46 Comments » // Uncategorized

tostitos-fiesta-bowl-uconn-rock

Are you as excited as I am?

photo courtesy of Robbie Frey.

Wake Up! UConn Is Going To The Fiesta Bowl: Suck It WVU

// December 6th, 2010 // 2 Comments » // Uncategorized

west-virginia-red-neckI’ve had a lot of proud moments as a Husky:  UConn’s first bowl appearance and win, defeating South Florida and fan’s charging the field, winning a share of the Big East in 2007.  But when Dave Teggart nails a 52 yarder, I think all those on the field moments were replaced by one felt as a fan.  Supreme vindication, is how I would describe it.  UConn reaching the pinnacle of college football, while simultaneously silencing the critics, the nay-sayers, the doubters of the team-that-could in Storrs, CT.  My hat is off to you.

Besides the simultaneous dropping of 80,000 jaws in West Virginia, the other best part of this victory is that they won this game (and played the entire season) the UConn football way: tremendous grit, never-say-die attitude, and with bone crushingly stingy defense.

There is more coming with the discussion of the BCS, primarily how the Huskies will fare against Oklahoma, but before we get into that we need to pause and think about just what Randy Edsall has accomplished:  He recruits his way, he runs an entire program his way, he’s taken a team from 1AA (Oh, the glory days of the Yankee Conference) to a BCS Bowl game.   He practices in a 54 million dollar facility that sits in the shadow of Memorial Stadium.  A physical juxtaposition that offers the most poignant of metaphors:  a new era has taken hold, while the previous one is a not so distant memory.

It is a proud day indeed.  I’ll see you in Arizona, kids.

Gutsy Cincinnati: The BCS Claims Yet Another Victim

// October 28th, 2009 // 1 Comment » // Uncategorized

cinci-qb

Ahhh, the BCS: where the computers do everything, and nothing makes sense.

To derive a team’s poll percentages in the Harris Interactive and USA TODAY polls, each team’s point total is divided by a maximum 2,850 possible points in the Harris Interactive poll and 1,575 possible points in the USA TODAY poll.

Teams are assigned an inverse point total (25 for a No. 1 ranking, 24 for No. 2, etc.) for each of their respective computer-poll rankings to determine the overall computer component. The highest and lowest ranking for each team is dropped, and the sum total of the remaining four rankings is divided by 100 (the maximum possible points total). This figure produces a Computer Rankings Percentage. The six computer ranking providers are Anderson & Hester, Richard Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Kenneth Massey, Jeff Sagarin and Peter Wolfe. Each computer ranking accounts for schedule strength within its formula.

The BCS Average is calculated by averaging the percent totals of the Harris Interactive and USA TODAY polls and the computer rankings. The highest BCS Average receives the No. 1 ranking, the second highest is No. 2 and so forth.

No it’s not 1984, it’s just the BCS ranking system.

How else could you explain why Boise State, ahead in both the Coaches and Harris polls fell from No. 6 to No. 7, as TCU jumped them. Much of this was “foreseen” by Boise’s “weak schedule,” but this is in my opinion the greatest misnomer in college football.

If playing in the Big East has taught me anything, it’s this: Any team can win any week. Schedule strength? Sure, it looks good on paper and probably looks even better to the computers. But to the players on the field, it means nothing. Every week has the potential to be catastrophic to a team’s season. I hate to point out the obvious, but even Div. I-AA teams can upset bigger, better teams. You still have to show up on Saturdays and you still have to win, and you’d prepare just as hard for Florida A&M as you would for Texas A&M.

Read The Rest Here

Some Call It Weak, I Call It Wide Open

// August 28th, 2009 // 1 Comment » // Uncategorized

WVUThe criticisms surrounding the Big East have been plenty, and the debate rages whether the eight-team football conference deserves an automatic bid to a BCS bowl.

This season is no different, especially since there is neither a clear favorite to win the conference title nor a single team in the top 25.

Here are three reasons why you should still be excited about the Big East.

READ THE REST HERE

BCS “National Championship” What a Sham.

// February 11th, 2009 // 5 Comments » // Uncategorized

You may already know my feelings on the subject, but in case you don’t click here.

I’ve always thought the BCS Committee was a bunch of idiots.
It appears someone else got it right too. From out friends over at The Global Sports Fraternity.
Enjoy: